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Probabilistic Resilience Quantification and Visualization Building Performance to Hurricane Wind Speeds

Berna Eren Tokgoz,  Assistant Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering, Lamar University

Natural and manmade disasters are unpredictable and unavoidable in today’s world. Resilience is a proactive concept which should incorporate both pre-event (preparedness and mitigation) and post-event (response and recovery) activities. As a new concept, resilience engineering is really about monitoring threats to a system and taking necessary actions to reduce the probability of failure of the system. Particularly, quantitative approaches for measuring resilience need to be developed to compare different mitigation strategies, and to provide better support and decision making. In order to achieve this goal, a methodology for quantification of resilience of different building types against different categories of hurricane is proposed. Numerical results for Monte Carlo and sensitivity analyses for resilience of various building types against Category 1, 2 and 3 hurricanes are presented. The proposed formulation can be used to determine resilience values and compare resilience of different building types or communities against a specific hurricane category.


Berna Eren Tokgoz is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Industrial Engineering at Lamar University, Beaumont, TX.  She received her BS and MS degrees in Chemical Engineering from Hacettepe University, Ankara, Turkey in 1997 and 2000, respectively, and her PhD in Engineering Management from Old Dominion University (ODU), Norfolk, VA in 2012. Her research interests include resilience, resilience quantification, risk, vulnerability, system of systems engineering, critical infrastructures, and port management. She is the member of the Port Management Steering Committee which is part of a Center of Advances in Port Management at Lamar University.